Prof. Dr. Rui A. P. Perdigão
IUC Physics of Complex Coevolutionary Systems and Fluid Dynamical Systems
Head of the Meteoceanics Institute for Complex System Science
& and of the Institute for Intelligence, Complexity and Security

Online Platforms including Publication Lists:



SELECTED INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL PUBLICATIONS (updated 2021)

I) JOURNAL PAPERS

“Who is stirring the waters?”.
Julia Hall; Rui A. P. Perdigão (2021): Science 371 6534 (2021): 1096-1097. doi: 10.1126/science.abg6514.

“Technical note: “Bit by bit”: a practical and general approach for evaluating model computational complexity vs. model performance”.
Elnaz Azmi; Uwe Ehret; Steven V. Weijs; Benjamin L. Ruddell; Rui A. P. Perdigão (2021): Hydrology and Earth System Sciences.
doi: 10.5194/hess-25-1103-2021.

Debates: Does Information Theory Provide a New Paradigm for Earth Science? Emerging Concepts and Pathways of Information Physics.
Perdigão R.A.P., Ehret U., Knuth K., and Wang J. (2020): Water Resources Research, 56, e2019WR025270. doi: 10.1029/2019WR025270.

Changing climate both increases and decreases European river floods.
Blöschl, G., Hall, J., Viglione, A., Perdigão, R.A.P., Parajka, J., et al., (2019): Nature, 573, 108-111. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41586-019-1495-6.

Coupled flow accumulation and atmospheric blocking govern flood duration.
Najibi, N., Devineni, N., Lu, M. & Perdigão, R.A.P. (2019): npj Climate and Atmospheric Science, 2(19), 1-13. doi:10.1038/s41612-019-0076-6. [A Nature Partner Journal]

Polyadic Entropy, Synergy and Redundancy among Statistically Independent Processes in Nonlinear Statistical Physics with Microphysical Codependence.
Perdigão R.A.P. (2018): Entropy 2018, 20(1), 26; doi:10.3390/e20010026.

Changing climate shifts timing of European floods.
Günter Blöschl, Julia Hall, Juraj Parajka, Rui A. P. Perdigão, Bruno Merz, et al. (2017): Science 357, 588–590 (2017).

Land-use change impacts on floods at the catchment scale – Challenges and opportunities for future research.
M. Rogger, M. Agnoletti, A. Alaoui, J.C. Bathurst, G. Bodner, M. Borga, V. Chaplot, F. Gallart, G. Glatzel, J. Hall, J. Holden, L. Holko, R. Horn, A. Kiss, S. Kohnová, G. Leitinger, B. Lennartz, J. Parajka, R. Perdigão, S. Peth, L. Plavcová, J.N. Quinton, M. Robinson, J. L. Salinas, A. Santoro, J. Szolgay, S. Tron, J.J.H. van den Akker, A. Viglione, and G. Blöschl. (2017): Water Resources Research, doi: 10.1002/2017WR020723.

Seasonality of runoff and precipitation regimes along transects in Peru and Austria.
Cárdenas Gaudry M., Gutknecht D., Parajka J., Perdigão R.A.P., and Blöschl G. (2017): Journal of Hydrology and Hydromechanics, 65, 4, 347–358, doi: 10.1515/johh-2017-0018.

Kepler Shuffle for Real-World Flood Simulations on GPUs.
Horváth Z., Perdigão R.A.P., Waser J., Cornel D., Konev A., and Blöschl G. (2016): International Journal of High Performance Computing Applications, doi: 10.1177/1094342016630800.

Non-Gaussian interaction information: estimation, optimization and diagnostic application of triadic wave resonance.
Pires C.A.L., and Perdigão R.A.P. (2015): Nonlinear Processes in Geophysics, 22, 87-108, doi:10.5194/npg-22-87-2015.

Dynamics of the Flood Response to Slow-Fast Landscape-Climate Feedbacks.
Perdigão R.A.P., and Blöschl G. (2015): Proc. Intl. Assoc. Hydrol. Sci., 370, 125-130, doi:10.5194/piahs- 370-125-2015.

A Two-Dimensional Numerical Scheme of Dry/Wet Fronts for the Saint-Venant System of Shallow Water Equations.
Horváth Z., Waser J., Perdigão R.A.P., Konev A., and Blöschl G. (2015): International Journal for Numerical Methods in Fluids, 77, pages 159–182. doi: 10.1002/fld.3983.

Increasing river floods – fiction or reality?
Blöschl G., Gaál L., Hall J., Komma J., Nester T., Parajka J., Perdigão R.A.P., Plavcová L., Rogger M., Salinas J., Viglione A. (2015): WIREs Water 2015, doi: 10.1002/wat2.1079.

New methods for flood risk management (Neue Methoden für das Hochwasserrisikomanagement).
Blöschl G., Horváth Z., Kiss A., Komma J., Nester T., Perdigão R.A.P., Viglione A., and Waser J. (2016): Journal of the Austrian Engineers and Architects (Österreichische Ingenieur- und Architekten- Zeitschrift), 160. Jg., Heft 1-12/2015.

A European Flood Database: facilitating comprehensive flood research beyond administrative boundaries.
Hall, J., Arheimer, B., Aronica, G. T., Bilibashi, A., Boháč, M., Bonacci, O., Borga, M., Burlando, P., Castellarin, A., Chirico, G. B., Claps, P., Fiala, K., Gaál, L., Gorbachova, L., Gül, A., Hannaford, J., Kiss, A., Kjeldsen, T., Kohnová, S., Koskela, J. J., Macdonald, N., Mavrova-Guirguinova, M., Ledvinka, O., Mediero, L., Merz, B., Merz, R., Molnar, P., Montanari, A., Osuch, M., Parajka, J., Perdigão, R.A.P., Radevski, I., Renard, B., Rogger, M., Salinas, J. L., Sauquet, E., Šraj, M., Szolgay, J., Viglione, A., Volpi, E., Wilson, D., Zaimi, K., and Blöschl, G. (2015): Proc. Intl. Assoc. Hydrol. Sci., 370, 89-95, doi:10.5194/piahs-370-89-2015.

Identification of coherent flood regions across Europe by using the longest streamflow records.
Mediero, L., Kjeldsen, T.R., Macdonald, N., Kohnova, S., Merz, B., Vorogushyn, S., Wilson, D., Alburquerque, T., Blöschl, G., Bogdanowicz, E., Castellarin, A., Hall, J., Kobold, M., Kriauciuniene, J., Lang, M., Madsen, H., Onuşluel Gül, G., Perdigão, R.A.P., Roald, L.A., Salinas, J.L., Toumazis, A.D., Veijalainen, N., Þórarinsson, Ó. (2015): Journal of Hydrology, doi:10.1016/j.jhydrol.2015.06.016.

Spatiotemporal flood sensitivity to annual precipitation: Evidence for landscape-climate coevolution.
Perdigão R.A.P., and Blöschl G. (2014): Water Resources Research, 50, 5492–5509, doi:10.1002/2014WR015365.

Understanding flood regime changes in Europe: a state-of-the-art assessment.
Hall, J., Arheimer, B., Borga, M., Brázdil, R., Claps, P., Kiss, A., Kjeldsen, T. R., Kriaučiūnienė, J., Kundzewicz, Z. W., Lang, M., Llasat, M. C., Macdonald, N., McIntyre, N., Mediero, L., Merz, B., Merz, R., Molnar, P., Montanari, A., Neuhold, C., Parajka, J., Perdigão, R. A. P., Plavcová, L., Rogger, M., Salinas, J. L., Sauquet, E., Schär, C., Szolgay, J., Viglione, A., and Blöschl, G. (2014): Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 18, 2735-2772, doi:10.5194/hess-18-2735-2014, 2014.

Run Watchers: Automatic Simulation-Based Decision Support in Flood Management.
Konev A., Waser J., Sadransky B., Cornel D., Perdigão R.A.P., Horváth Z., and Gröller M.E. (2014): IEEE Transactions on Visualization and Computer Graphics, DOI 10.1109/TVCG.2014.2346930.

Estimation of regional snowline elevation (RSLE) from MODIS images for seasonally snow covered mountain basins.
Krajčí P., Holko L., Perdigão R.A.P., Parajka J. (2014). Journal of Hydrology, doi: 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2014.08.064

Land surface temperature from multiple geostationary satellites.
Freitas S.C., Trigo I.F., Macedo J., Barroso C., Silva R., and Perdigão R. (2013): International Journal of Remote Sensing, 34, 3051-3068, DOI:10.1080/01431161.2012.716925. [Len Curtis Award, recip. 2014/2015]

The June 2013 flood – analysis and implications for flood risk management. [Das Juni- Hochwasser 2013 – Analyse und Konsequenzen für das Hochwasserrisikomanagement].
Blöschl G., Nester T., Komma J., Parajka J., and Perdigão R.A.P. (2013): Journal of Austrian Architects and Engineers (ÖIAZ), 158, 141-151.

The June 2013 flood in the Upper Danube Basin, and comparisons with the 2002, 1954 and 1899 floods.
Blöschl G., Nester T., Komma J., Parajka J., and Perdigão R.A.P. (2013): Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 17, 5197-5212, doi:10.5194/hess-17-5197-2013, 2013.

Minimum Mutual Information and Non-Gaussianity Through the Maximum Entropy Method: Estimation from finite samples.
Pires C.A.L. and R.A.P. Perdigão (2013): Entropy, 15(3), 721-752, doi:10.3390/e15030721.

Minimum Mutual Information and Non-Gaussianity Through the Maximum Entropy Method: Theory and Properties.
Pires C.A.L. and R.A.P. Perdigão (2012): Entropy, 14(6), 1103-1126; doi:10.3390/e14061103.

Dynamics of prediction errors under the combined effect of initial condition and model errors.
Nicolis C., R.A.P. Perdigão, and S. Vannitsem (2009): Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 66, 766- 778.

Non-Gaussianity and Asymmetry of the Winter Monthly Precipitation Estimation from the NAO.
Pires C.A., and R.A.P. Perdigão (2007): Monthly Weather Review, 135, 430-448. DOI: 10.1175/MWR3407.10.

II) MONOGRAPHS (BOOKS)

II.1 Research Monographs on Dynamical Systems and Complexity (M-DSC):

II.2 Frontier Lectures on M-DSC:

III.3 University Monographs:

Fluid Dynamical Systems.
Perdigão R.A.P. (2017): Professorial Research Monograph in Physics. M-DSC, Austria.

Nonlinear Statistics and Dynamics of Atmospheric Predictability and Downscaling.
Perdigão R.A.P. (2010): Doctorate Thesis in Physics, Department of Physics, Faculty of Sciences, University of Lisbon, Portugal.

Non-Gaussianity and Asymmetry of the Precipitation Response to the North Atlantic Oscillation.
Perdigão R.A.P. (2010): Dissertation for the Advanced Study Diploma in Physics, Department of Physics, Faculty of Sciences, University of Lisbon, Portugal.

Independent Component Analysis of the Low Frequency Geopotential Height Field and its relevance to Precipitation regimes over the Euro-Atlantic region. Perdigão R.A.P. (2004): Dissertation in Geophysical Sciences − Meteorology and Oceanography, Department of Physics, Faculty of Sciences, University of Lisbon, Portugal.


III) SCIENTIFIC BOOK CHAPTERS

2020: Triadic Nexus Among Agriculture, Climate Change, and Poverty.
Kaya Schwemmlein; Rui A. P. Perdigão. 2020. Encyclopedia of the UN Sustainable Development Goals. Springer Nature. 10.1007/978-3-319-69625-6_130-1.

2020: Socio-Environmental Food Systems Under Anthropogenic Climate Change: The Water-Energy- Food Nexus Perspective.
Perdigão, R.A.P., and Schwemmlein, K. (2020): Encyclopedia of the UN Sustainable Development Goals. Springer Nature. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-71065-5 149-1.

2019: Non-Ergodic Information Physics from Quantum to Biogeophysical Complexity: Unveiling Hidden Predictability Beyond Memory Collapse.
Perdigão R.A.P. (2019): M-DSC Frontier Lecture Series 2019.

2018: Mathematical Physics and Predictability of Non-Periodic Emergence and Extremes in Complex Coevolutionary Systems.
Perdigão R.A.P. (2018): APMG 2017.

2018: Nonlinear Dynamics and Predictability of Non-Ergodic Synergistic Emergence in Complex Coevolutionary Systems.
Perdigão R.A.P., Pires C.A.L. and Hall J. (2018): M-DSC Frontier Lecture Series 2018.

2015: Non-Gaussian Inference and Source Separation Methods with Applications to the Diagnostic and Predictability of Drought Indices.
Pires C.L., Perdigão R.A.P., Trigo R.M., Ribeiro A.S. (2015): in Seasonal Predictability of Droughts, IST Press (in Portuguese).

2014: Inferring Geophysical Causality from Directional-Dynamic Information. Perdigão R.A.P., and Pires C.A.L. (2014): APMG 2013. ISBN: 978-989-95660-0-2.

2011: On a simple model of short- to long-term evolution of prediction errors.
Perdigão, R.A.P., and Pires C.A.L. (2011): APMG 2010.

2010: Error dynamics combining uncertainty in the initial conditions with model imperfections.
Perdigão, R.A.P., Pires, C. (2010): APMG 2009.


IV) SELECTED REPORTS

Unveiling Order beneath Climatic Change Chaos in the light of Coevolutionary Complex System Dynamics.
Rui A. P. Perdigão. 2021. https://doi.org/10.46337/210407

Spatiotemporal Causality and Predictability Beyond Recurrence Collapse in Complex Coevolutionary Systems.
Rui A. P. Perdigão; Julia Hall. 2020. https://doi.org/10.46337/201111.

Wildfire System Dynamics and Predictability under Socio-Environmental Coevolution in a Changing Climate.
Rui A. P. Perdigão; Julia Hall. 2020. https://doi.org/10.46337/201016.

Information Physical Artificial Intelligence in Complex System Dynamics: Breaking Frontiers in Nonlinear Analytics, Model Design and Socio-Environmental Decision Support in a Coevolutionary World.
Rui A. P. Perdigão. 2020. https://doi.org/10.46337/200930.

Black Swan Information Physics: Seeing the Invisible, Predicting the Unpredictable.
Rui A. P. Perdigão. 2020. https://doi.org/10.46337/200901.

Polyadic Dynamic Nexus among Complex Socio-Environmental Systems: from Earth System Dynamics to Sustainable Development.
Rui A. P. Perdigão; Julia Hall; Kaya Schwemmlein. 2020. https://doi.org/10.46337/200819.

Information Physics: Closing Gaps, Opening Perspectives.
Rui A. P. Perdigão. 2020. https://doi.org/10.46337/200801.

QITES – Quantum Information Technologies in the Earth Sciences.
Rui A. P. Perdigão. 2020. https://doi.org/10.46337/qites.200628.

Non-Ergodic Information Physics from Quantum to Biogeophysical Complexity: Unveiling Hidden Predictability Beyond Memory Collapse.
Rui A. P. Perdigão. 2019. https://doi.org/10.46337/190301.

Synergistic Dynamics of Complex Socio-Natural Systems.
Rui A. P. Perdigão. 2019. https://doi.org/10.46337/190201.

Nonlinear Dynamics and Predictability of Non-Ergodic Synergistic Emergence in Complex Coevolutionary Systems.
Rui A. P. Perdigão; Carlos A. L. Pires; Julia Hall. 2018. https://doi.org/10.46337/180102.

The Physics in Nonlinear Science.
Rui A. P. Perdigão. 2017. https://doi.org/10.46337/170121.

Mathematical Physics and Predictability of Complex Coevolutionary Systems.
Rui A. P. Perdigão. 2014. https://doi.org/10.46337/140102.


V) SELECTED SEMINAR & KEYNOTE TALKS BY INVITATION

2020: Física da Informação e Inteligência Artificial em Dinâmica de Sistemas Complexos. Laboratório Nacional de Engenharia Civil (LNEC) (Portugal). Held online due to Covid19 restrictions. 03 December 2020.

2020: Information Physical Artificial Intelligence in Complex System Dynamics: Breaking Frontiers in Nonlinear Analytics, Model Design and Socio-Environmental Decision Support in a Coevolutionary World. CE3C Annual Meeting 2020. Centre for Ecology, Evolution and Environmental Changes (Portugal) – held online due to Covid19 restrictions. 01 October 2020.

2020: New Frontiers in Nonlinear Analytics – Black Swan Information Physics: Seeing the Invisible, Predicting the Unpredictable. Workshop “Quantum State of the Union, Theory Edition”. Instituto de Telecomunicações (Lisboa, Portugal) – held online due to Covid19 restrictions. 03 September 2020.

2020: Information Physics: Closing Gaps, Opening Perspectives SITES 2020. Workshop on Information Theory in the Earth Sciences. Northern Arizona University (Flagstaff, Arizona, Estados Unidos) – held online due to Covid19 restrictions. 03 August 2020.

2020: Eventos extremos provocados pelas alterações climáticas na Europa,
Seminar at Academia das Ciências de Lisboa, part of the conference cycle ”Sustentabilidade do Homem no Planeta Terra que Magalhães circum-navegou”. 28 January 2020.

2020: Unveiling Hidden Dynamics and Predictability in Non-Ergodic Coevolutionary Complexity.
Seminar lecture at Encontros Scientia, Center for Ecology, Evolution and Environmental Changes, Lisbon, Portugal, 16 January 2020.

2019: Complex System Dynamics, Interdisciplinary Data Fusion and Analytics for Model Design in Co-evolutionary Systems.
Keynote talk at: AE Symposium 2019: Data-driven Modelling and Design for Architecture and Environment Integration, Vienna, Austria, December 2019.

2019: Black Swan Physics: Unveiling Hidden Predictability Beyond Recurrence Collapse in Complex Coevolutionary Systems.
Seminar at Departamento de Física, Faculdade de Ciências, Universidade de Lisboa, Portugal, 4 December 2019.

2019: A importância do Oceano e da Criosfera para a Humanidade.
Keynote talk at: Colóquio Oceano e Sobrevivência Global, Sociedade de Geografia de Lisboa, Portugal, 18 November 2019.

2019: Dinâmica Sinergética de Sistemas Coevolutivos: Da Natureza à Escola e Sociedade.
Keynote talk at: II Encontro Educação, Desafios, Consensos: (Des)construindo a Prática. Lisbon, Portugal, 16 October 2019.

2019: Complex System Dynamics.
Instituto de Ciências Sociais, University of Lisbon, Portugal, 28 February 2019.

2018: Black Swan Dynamics in Climate Change: the rise of new critical regimes and extremes.
Doctoral Program in Climate Change and Sustainable Development Policies, University of Lisbon, Lisbon, Portugal, 10 November 2018.

2017: Thermodynamics of Coevolutionary Systems: Theory and Geophysical Applications.
Karlsruhe Institute of Technology (KIT), Karlsruhe, Germany, 21 September 2017.

2016: Nonlinear Dynamics and Predictability of Complex Hydrologic and Climatic Systems.
UC Davis, Davis, CA, USA, 20 June 2016.

2016: Nonlinear Dynamics and Emergence in Coevolutionary Hydro-Climatic Systems.
Karlsruhe Institute of Technology, Karlsruhe, Germany, 10 March 2016.

2015: Nonlinear Emergence in Earth System Dynamics: Detection, Attribution and Predictability.
Irenental, WU, Austria, 5 March 2015.

2015: Nonlinear Dynamics of Coevolving Hydroclimatic Systems: Finding order in chaos for prediction and decision support.
University of Lisbon, Portugal, 6 January 2015.

2014: Dynamical Regime Changes in Interconnected Geophysical Systems.
Vienna, Austria. 21 July, 2014.

2014: Stochastic-Dynamic Hydrology.
Vienna Catchment Science Symposium, Vienna, Austria, 3 May 2014.

2014: Causality, Regimes and Synergies.
Pressbaum, NÖ, Austria, 4 February 2014.

2013: Dynamical Information Flow and Causality.
Irenental, WU, Austria, 17 September 2013.

2013: The Role of Planetary Waves in Driving Regional Weather Systems.
Seminarhotel Springer Schlössl, Vienna, Austria, 6 September 2013.

2012: Error Dynamics in Nonlinear Prediction Systems − an Analytical Approach to a Numerical Problem.
Centre of Applied Mathematics to Prediction and Decision in Economy (CEMAPRE), University of Lisbon, Portugal, 10 February 2012.

2009: Error Dynamics in imperfect model scenarios with uncertainty in the initial conditions – Analytical formulation and applications.
Faculty of Sciences, University of Lisbon, Portugal, 19 May 2009.

2005: Independent Component Analysis of the Low Frequency Geopotential Height Field.
Naval Research Laboratory – Marine Meteorology Division, Monterey, CA, USA.

2005: Non-Gaussian downscaling of Precipitation from NAO using Edgeworth Expansions.
Naval Research Laboratory – Marine Meteorology Division, Monterey, CA, USA.

2005: Simple models of uncertainty behaviour in atmospheric systems – Impact of a nonlinear saturation term on analytical and numerical solutions.
Naval Research Laboratory – Marine Meteorology Division, Monterey, CA, USA, February 2005.



VI) REGULAR ORAL PRESENTATIONS at CONFERENCES

2019: ECCA Complex System predictability beyond structural collapse and memory loss: unveiling dynamic mechanisms shaping unprecedented regimes, disruptive transitions and extremes.
4th European Climate Change Adaptation Conference, 28-31 May 2019, Lisbon, Portugal.

2018: Governing Dynamic Laws of Spatiotemporal Predictability and Uncertainty under Synergistic and Coevolutionary Uncertainty Sources.
EGU General Assembly 2018, Vienna, Austria.

2017: Governing Laws of Complex System Predictability Under Coevolving Uncertainty Sources: Theory and Geophysical Applications.
AGU Fall Meeting 2017, New Orleans, December 11-15, 2017.

2016: Nonlinear Dynamics of Complex Coevolutionary Systems in Historical Times.
EGU General Assembly 2016, Vienna, Austria.

2015: Dynamics of the Flood Response to Slow-Fast Landscape-Climate Feedbacks.
International Union of Geodesy and Geophysics (IUGG), XXVI General Assembly, Prague, Czech Republic, 23 June 2015.

2015: Dynamics of flood regimes in nonlinearly coevolving landscape-climate systems.
XVI Iberian-American Meeting in Meteorology, Tavira, Portugal, 17 March 2015.

2014: Dynamic Detection and Attribution of Hydroclimatic Regime Changes.
ERC Symposium ”Land Use Change Impacts on Floods”, Vienna, Austria, 21-22 Oct. 2014.

2014: Dynamical ocean-atmospheric drivers of floods and droughts.
EGU General Assembly, Vienna, Austria, 2 May 2014.

2014: Joint statistical-dynamical framework for flood change detection and attribution.
European Symposium on Flood Frequency Estimation and Implications for Risk Management. Potsdam, Germany, 6 March 2014.

2013: Joint decadal and regional flood response to climate drivers.
EGU General Assembly, Vienna, Austria, 10 April 2013.

2013: Inferring Geophysical Causality from Directional-Dynamic Information.
8th Symposium of Meteorology and Geophysics from the Portuguese Association for Meteorology and Geophysics (APMG), Ericeira, Portugal, 19 March 2013.

2011: On a simple model of short- to long-term evolution of prediction errors.
XIV Iberian-American Congress of Meteorology, Setu ́bal, Portugal, 29 March 2011.

2010: Dynamics of prediction errors in atmospheric models.
Data Analysis and Modelling in Earth Sciences (DAMES) 2010, Lisbon, Portugal, 22 Sept.

2009: Dynamics of combined initial-condition and model-related errors − a Quasi-Geos-trophic case study.
6th Symposium of Meteorology and Geophysics from the Portuguese Association for Meteorology and Geo- physics, Setu ́bal, Portugal, 17 March 2009.

2007: Dynamics of coupled initial condition and model-related errors.
International Union of Geodesy and Geophysics, XXIV General Assembly − Earth: our changing planet, Perugia, Italy, 12 July 2007.

2006: Non-Gaussianity and Asymmetric Correlation between NAO and Winter Precipitation over the Euro-Atlantic region.
5th Spanish-Portuguese Assembly of Geodesy and Geophysics, Seville, Spain, 2 February 2006.

2006: Non-Gaussianity and Asymmetry of the Winter Monthly Precipitation Estimation from NAO.
Follow-up Workshop on Mathematics and the Environment, International Center for Mathematics (CIM), Coimbra, Portugal, 27 January 2006.

2004: Auto-Mutual information vs. Autocorrelation Techniques in Time Series Analysis.
4th Portuguese-Spanish Assembly of Geodesy and Geophysics, Figueira da Foz, Portugal, 3-7 February 2004.


VII) OTHER SELECTED CONTRIBUTIONS TO INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCES

Information Physical Complexity, Causality and Predictability across Coevolutionary Spacetimes: Theory and Hydro-Climatic Applications.
Rui A. P. Perdigão; Julia Hall. 2021. https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu21-9678.

From rationalization to rationality: (In)sustainability of strategic narratives in science communication, ranging from climatic change to hydro-meteorological extremes.
Mónica Ribau; Rui Perdigão; Julia Hall. 2021. https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu21-2360.

The contribution of the CAM fibre optic submarine cable telecom ring to the early warning of tsunami and earthquakes.
Luis Matias; Yasser Omar; Fernando Carrilho; Vasco Sá; Rachid Omira; Carlos Corela; Rui A. P. Perdigão; Afonso Loureiro. 2020. https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu2020-13988.

Governing Laws of Complex System Predictability Under Coevolving Uncertainty Sources: Theory and Geophysical Applications.
Perdigão R.A.P. (2017): AGU Fall Meeting 2017, New Orleans, December 11-15, 2017.

Nonlinear Synergistic Emergence and Predictability in Complex Systems: Theory and Hydro-Climatic Applications.
Perdigão R.A.P., Hall J., Pires C.A.L., Blöschl G.B. (2017): EGU General Assembly 2017, April 24-28, Vienna, Austria.

Spatio-Temporal Patterns and Changes in Flood Seasonality – Climatic and Geographic Controls.
Hall J., Perdigão R.A.P., Blöschl G. (2017): EGU General Assembly 2017, April 24-28, Vienna, Austria.

Nonlinear Dynamics and Predictability of Complex Hydrologic and Climatic Systems (invited keynote lecture)
Perdigão R.A.P. (2016): II Orlob Symposium on Theoretical Hydrology, 20-22 June 2016, UC Davis, CA, USA.

Nonlinear Dynamics of Complex Coevolutionary Systems in Historical Times.
Perdigão R.A.P. (2016): Geophysical Research Abstracts, 18, EGU2016-8430, 2016. EGU General Assembly 2016.

Mathematical Physics of Complex Coevolutionary Systems: Theoretical Advances and Applications to Multiscale Hydroclimate Dynamics.
Perdigão R.A.P. (2016): Geophysical Research Abstracts, 18, EGU2016-10066-2, 2016. EGU General Assembly 2016.

Non-Gaussian Information-Theoretical Analytics for Diagnostic and Inference of Hydroclimatic Extremes.
Pires C.A.L., and Perdigão R.A.P. (2016): Geophysical Research Abstracts, 18, EGU2016-17069-1, 2016. EGU General Assembly 2016.

Nonlinear Synergies and Multiscale Structural Dynamics in Complex Systems: Theoretical Advances and Applications to Hydroclimate Dynamics.
Perdigão, R.A.P. (2015): AGU Fall Meeting 2015, San Francisco, USA, 14-18 Dec. 2015.

Emerging Processes in Flood Regime Dynamics: Evidence from Spatiotemporal Statistics and a Nonlinear Dynamical Model of Coevolution.
R.A.P. Perdigão and G. Blöschl (2015). Geophysical Research Abstracts, Vol. 17, EGU2015-6467-1, 2015.

Flood Regime Dynamics with Slow-Fast Landscape-Climate Feedbacks.
R.A.P. Perdigão and G. Blöschl (2015). Geophysical Research Abstracts, Vol. 17, EGU2015-6345-2, 2015

Spatial and temporal patterns of hydrological extremes in Europe.
J. Hall and R.A.P. Perdigão (2015). Geophysical Research Abstracts, Vol. 17, EGU2015-11214, 2015.

Triadic Non-Gaussian teleconnections in the Sea Surface Temperature Field: a source of interannual predictability coming from triadic wave resonances.
C. Pires, R. Trigo and R.A.P. Perdigão (2015). Geophysical Research Abstracts, Vol. 17, EGU2015-8013, 2015.

Dynamics of flood regimes in nonlinearly coevolving landscape-climate systems.
R.A.P. Perdigão and G. Blöschl. APMG 2015, 9o Simpósio de Meteorologia e Geofísica da APMG 16o Encontro Luso-Espanhol de Meteorologia, Tavira, Portugal, 16-18 Mar. 2015.

Emergent Behavior in Slow-Fast Landscape-Climate Dynamics: Evidence from Spatiotemporal Flood Statistics and a Nonlinear Dynamical Model of Coevolution (invited).
RAP Perdigão, and G. Blöschl (2014): AGU Fall Meeting, San Francisco, CA, USA, 15-19 Dec. 2014.

Dynamic Detection and Attribution of Hydroclimatic Regime Changes.
RAP Perdigão, J Hall, G Blöschl (2014): ERC Symposium “Land Use Change Impacts on Floods”, Vienna, Austria, 21-22 Oct. 2014.

A large scale European database to identify dominant drivers of flood seasonality.
J Hall, J Parajka, RAP Perdigão, A Viglione, G Blöschl (2014): EGU General Assembly Conference Abstracts 16, 5943, 2014.

Spatial and temporal patterns of the June 2013 flood in the Upper Danube Basin as compared to the 2002, 1954 and 1899 floods.
T Nester, J Komma, J Parajka, RAP Perdigão, G Blöschl (2014): EGU General Assembly Conference Abstracts 16, 9633, 2014

Analysis of large Danube flood events at Vienna since 1700.
A Kiss, G Blöschl, S Hohensinner, R Perdigão (2014): EGU General Assembly Conference Abstracts 16, 10703, 2014.

Triadic Non-Gaussian low-frequency Teleconnections in the Atmosphere and Ocean.
C Pires, R Perdigão (2014): EGU General Assembly Conference Abstracts 16, 14203, 2014.

A Bayesian fingerprinting analysis for detection and attribution of changes in extreme flows.
Y Hundecha, B Merz, RAP Perdigão, S Vorogushyn, A Viglione, G Blöschl (2014): EGU General Assembly Conference Abstracts 16, 10451, 2014.

Towards a dynamical understanding of flood regime changes.
RAP Perdigão, J Hall, G Blöschl (2014): EGU General Assembly Conference Abstracts 16, 14819, 2014.

Dynamical ocean-atmospheric drivers of floods and droughts.
RAP Perdigão, J Hall (2014): EGU General Assembly Conference Abstracts 16, 2121, 2014.

Joint statistical-dynamical framework for flood change detection and attribution.
RAP Perdigão, J Hall (2014): European Symposium on Flood Frequency Estimation and Implications for Risk Management. Potsdam, Germany, March 6 – 7, 2014.

Joint decadal and regional flood response to climate drivers.
RAP Perdigão, G Blöschl (2013): EGU General Assembly Conference Abstracts 15, 13982, 2013.

Interactive and Mutual Information among low-frequency variability modes of a quasi-geostrophic model.
C Pires, R Perdigão (2013): EGU General Assembly Conference Abstracts 15, 3516, 2013.

The influence of vegetation on flood change.
L Plavcová, J Hall, RAP Perdigão, G Blöschl (2013): EGU General Assembly Conference Abstracts 15, 13983, 2013.

Radiation Products based on a constellation of Geostationary Satellites.
IF Trigo, SC Freitas, C Barroso, J Macedo, R Perdigão, R Silva, P Viterbo (2012): EGU General Assembly Conference Abstracts 14, 7883, 2012.

Dynamics of combined initial-condition and model-related errors in a Quasi-Geostrophic prediction system.
Perdigão, R.A.P., Pires, C.A., and Vannitsem, S. (2009): EGU General Assembly, Vienna, 2009.

Error dynamics combining uncertainty in the initial conditions with model imperfections.
Perdigão, R.A.P., Pires, C. (2009): Simpósio da APMG, 16-18 de Março, Monte da Caparica.

Dynamics of coupled initial condition and model-related errors.
P. Perdigão, R.A.; Nicolis, C. (2007): IUGG XXIV General Assembly – Earth: our changing planet. Perugia, Italia. Proceedings published in 2008: International Association of Meteorology and Atmospheric Sciences, Abstract 5214 – P. 339.

Linking monthly precipitation and atlantic weather regimes : an information theory approach.
Pires, C.; Perdigão, R. (2007). IUGG XXIV General Assembly – Earth: our changing planet. Perugia, Italia.

Non-Gaussianity and Asymmetry of the Joint Distribution NAO-Winter Precipitation over the Euro- Atlantic Region.
Pires, C.; Perdigão, R. (2007). 87th Annual Meeting of the American Meteorological Society. San- Antonio, Texas, USA.

Assimetria da correlação entre precipitação e o índice da oscilação do Atlântico-Norte (NAO).
Pires, C.; Perdigão, R.A.P. (2006): 5.: Simpósio de Meteorologia e Geofmsica da APMG; 8.: Encontro Luso-Espanhol de Meteorologia. Peniche, Portugal.

Simple models of error growth.
Pita Perdigão, R.; Teixeira, J.; Reynolds, C. (2006): Geophysical Research Abstracts, Vol. 8, 00567.

Winter Monthly Precipitation Downscaling from the North Atlantic Oscillation: An Information Theoretical Approach.
Pires, C.A.; Pita Perdigão, R.A. (2006): Geophysical Research Abstracts, Vol. 8, 03126.

Non-Gaussianity and Asymmetry of the Winter Monthly Precipitation Estimation from NAO.
Pires, Carlos A.; Perdigão, Rui A.P. (2006): Follow-up Workshop Mathematics and the Environment, Centro Internacional de Matemática, Coimbra, Portugal.

Não-Gaussianidade e correlação assimétrica entre NAO e precipitação de inverno na região Euro-Atlântica.
Pires, Carlos A. L.; Pita Perdigão*, R.A. (2006): 5a Assembleia Luso-Espanhola de Geodesia e Geofísica / 5a Asamblea Hispano Portuguesa de Geodesia y Geofísica, Sevilla, España.

Independent Component Analysis of the Low Frequency Geopotential Height Field and its relevance to Precipitation regimes over the Euro-Atlantic region.
Perdigão, R.P.; Pires, C. (2005): APMG 2005 – 4o Simpósio de Meteorologia e Geofísica da APMG – 6o Encontro Luso-Espanhol de Meteorologia, Sesimbra, Portugal.

Simple models of uncertainty behaviour in atmospheric systems – Impact of a nonlinear saturation term on analytical and numerical solutions.
Perdigão, R. (2005): Seminar presented at the Naval Research Laboratory – Marine Meteorology Division, Monterey, CA, USA, in February 2005.

Independent Component Analysis of the Low Frequency Geopotential Height Field, and Non- Gaussian downscaling of Precipitation from NAO using Edgeworth Expansions.
Perdigão, R. (2005): Seminar presented at the Naval Research Laboratory – Marine Meteorology Division, Monterey, CA, USA, in February 2005.

Auto-Mutual information vs. Autocorrelation Techniques in Time Series Analysis.
Perdigão, R.P.; Pires, C. (2004): 4a Assembleia Luso-Espanhola de Geodesia e Geofísica, Figueira da Foz, Portugal.

Auto-Mutual Information vs. Autocorrelation Techniques in Time Series Analysis.
Perdigão, R.P.; Pires, C. (2003): Workshop “A Física (que se faz) na Faculdade de Ciências”, FCUL, Lisboa.



VIII) SELECTED INTERNAL LECTURE SERIES ON DYNAMICAL SYSTEMS (Austria)

Fluid Dynamical Systems.
R.A.P. Perdigão (2016)

Nonlinear Emergence in Earth System Dynamics: Detection, Attribution and Predictability.
R.A.P. Perdigão (2014)

Nonlinear Synergies in Dynamical Regimes.
R.A.P. Perdigão (2014)

Regime Dynamics and Predictability.
R.A.P. Perdigão (2014)

Dynamical Regime Changes in Interconnected Geophysical Systems.
R.A.P. Perdigão (2014)

Critical Transitions in Earth System Dynamics.
R.A.P. Perdigão (2014)

Stochastic-Dynamic Hydrology.
R.A.P. Perdigão (2014)

Slow-Fast Dynamics and Symmetry Breaks in Geophysical Systems.
R.A.P. Perdigão (2013)

System Diagrams as Conceptual Circuits.
R.A.P. Perdigão (2013)

Dynamical Information Flow and Causality.
R.A.P. Perdigão (2013)

Finding Order in Chaos: Introducing Dynamical Systems.
R.A.P. Perdigão (2013)


The publication and seminar lists only contain the contributions relevant to the scientific scope of this chair.